According to recent polls, the NDA government’s popularity has declined in recent months. This is likely due to a number of factors, including the farmers’ protests and the economic slowdown.
The NDTV-CSDS survey on nine years of the Narendra Modi government revealed, not surprisingly, that the Prime Minister remains popular. But there’s reason for the BJP to be worried. More on that later.
While projecting vote share, the survey doesn’t consider NDA and INDIA but considers BJP and Congress, lumping all the pre-poll allies of both parties under ‘others’.
We cross-checked with CSDS on whether the vote share projections given on NDTV were for ‘BJP/Congress’ or for ‘NDA/INDIA’. They confirmed that it was for the parties, not alliances.
Therefore the vote share projections are a bit misleading because ideally it should have factored in pre-poll alliances.
It is important to know how much of the 28 percent votes projected for ‘others’ are going to BJP’s and Congress’ pre-poll allies.
Since the INDIA has parties with a bigger vote share on board presently, there is a very high likelihood that the gap between NDA and INDIA might actually be even lower than the 10-point gap between BJP and Congress.